Expediting Dystopia

    Cold War II

I have a problem in that I recently purchased a tablet that is a small seven inch screen with a tiny querky keyboard and a mind of its own. It does not have the same functionality that the laptop had but the laptop is no longer alive and I was not in a financial position to purchase another laptop. And I am stuck for the time being with errors in my writing, typing and layout of work submitted to the WWW.

When I was a child of the 1960s I watched my parents set up our first black and white television set which was such a big event in the home. Letters were the other option if a telephone call was not an option due to expense or logistical issues. Telegrams were for immediate good or bad news, newspapers were used as fish and chip wrapper Kodak instamatic cameras were cool and there was a social revolution going on that had something to do with peace and love.

My personal story does not matter because this is not about my narrative. This is about a more important story of where we are at today as a species. Yes we have evolved from those days where our knuckles scrapped the ground and that we grunted asva way of communicating. We have evolved to the point where we sit in isolation in our bedroom or office and communicate with our colleagues or family members in the next room by email or SMS.

We have evolved from the dark ages and moved through the age of reason. We have catapulted our species into the twenty first century on a very steep trajectory, one where we hope science will save us and solve our problems. One Hundred Years Of War, or the twentieth century, did not inpart much wisdom into the way that we resolve conflict. If we are to aspire to reaching the apex of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs pyramid then at the present rate we may reach it by 3016.

To understand our present position one needs to look at social contract theory and to go back to Socrates and Plato two of the first to explore this idea of our relationship with society and the world. The next three are rather obvious choices and they are Hobbes,Locke and Rousseau. To balance out the ideas of these three men I would suggest reading the work of Carol Pateman. If we understand that the welfare of man us in a state of eternal conflict, then we are closer to comprehending where we are today.

The hegemonic power of America is declining with the transition from bipolar world to the multipolar world that exists in this first quarter of this century. Hegemonic powers rise and fall and this is evident from all of the previous powers commencing with the Achaemenid Empire. Human history and the history of the planet involves change. What we are witnessing today is the changing global order where America and the West are being challenged by the Rest.

There are only two sides to the human species, constructive and destructive and there are only two utopias. Yesterday is history and tomorrow is still a mystery and for some of the world today it is dystopia. The media runs on the idea of if it bleeds it leads and we have now constructed a world where we have connectivity to the Internet every single second of every day…commonly referred to by the funky term 24/7. The media is designed to carry information from source to consumer and for the consumer to be entertained.

Countries are currently reviewing their strategic defence capabilities and ramping up the deployment of the latest weapons and I ask why. Are countries such as America, Russia, China and a long list of other countries, replacing old technology and weapons with new just to stimulate the economy. Is the current level of rhetoric from global leaders merely sabre rattling and chest beating. Is our world in a period of stable peace preparing for a future war.

One way to make the transition from this quarter into the next quarter an easy on, is for America to get serious about this current election for a head of state. If America can reform and adopt a new way of thinking about itself and it’s position in the world then it can retain a position of influence and it’s Hegemon status. If America is not able or willing to undertake a transformative process then it is expediting our rapid descernt into a global dystopia. Take the dys out and put the fun back into functional. Continue reading

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Geopolitical Tension

Tension

Click on the map for a clearer view

Roubini Warns : The violence and instability of North Africa is now spreading into Sub-Saharan Africa

Djibouti: The Middle East Meltdown and Global Risk – Impact of The Horn

New York (HAN) October 7, 2015 – Public Economic Diplomacy and the prospect of more onshore and offshore oil production in East Africa. Opinion By: Nouriel Roubini. A professor and was Senior Economist for International Affairs in the White House’s Council of Economic Advisers during the Clinton Administration. He has worked for the International Monetary Fund, the US Federal Reserve, and the World Bank.

Among today’s geopolitical risks, none is greater than the long arc of instability stretching from the Maghreb to the Afghanistan-Pakistan border. With the Arab Spring an increasingly distant memory, the instability along this arc is deepening. Indeed, of the three initial Arab Spring countries, Libya has become a failed state, Egypt has returned to authoritarian rule, and Tunisia is being economically and politically destabilized by terrorist attacks.

The violence and instability of North Africa is now spreading into Sub-Saharan Africa, with the Sahel – one of the world’s poorest and most environmentally damaged regions – now gripped by jihadism, which is also seeping into the Horn of Africa to its east. And, as in Libya, civil wars are raging in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and Somalia, all of which increasingly look like failed states.

The region’s turmoil (which the United States and its allies, in their pursuit of regime change in Iraq, Libya, Syria, Egypt and elsewhere, helped to fuel) is also undermining previously secure states. The influx of refugees from Syria and Iraq is destabilizing Jordan, Lebanon, and now even Turkey, which is becoming increasingly authoritarian under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. Meanwhile, with the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians unresolved, Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon represent a chronic threat of violent clashes with Israel.


What direction will US foreign policy take regarding this tension and will the next president have the power to be able to lead congress towards effective solutions ?
What influence will Russia, China and America have on the future of conflict and will foreign policy be part of the presidential debate ?

F35 – F16 = T-50 Arms Race

Fifth generation fighter jets –

Chinese, Russian, Indian and US

Arms Race

If you can believe the press reports surrounding the J-35s https://www.f35.com/ lack of capability to compete with old birds and new birds alike, then you would seriously ask why would you buy one. Strategic defence capabilities in the 21st Century still demand air superiority because of the part that it plays in overall planning. Within the parameters of conventional warfare air strike capability is a very important component to a successful mission. The three largest defence contractors in the world are American corporations, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Gruman & Boeing.

Can anyone trust the Lockhead Martin sales pitch on this aircraft and in light of the fact that this is the world’s biggest fighter project.

http://www.migflug.com/jetflights/f-35-biggest-aviation-project-ever.html

http://thediplomat.com/2015/07/f-35-loses-dogfight-to-fighter-jet-from-the-1980s/   http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/the-f-35-cant-beat-the-plane-its-replacing-in-a-dogfigh-1714712248

The F-35 Lightning II was designed to be an affordable 5th Generation fighter

Production Costs

  • F-35A: $98 million
  • F-35B: $104 million
  • F-35C: $116 million

f13-09185pr__main factory__main

The claim made by Lockheed Martin – The F-35’s stealth capabilities are unprecedented in tactical fighter aviation. An integrated airframe design, advanced materials and other features make the F-35 virtually undetectable to enemy radar. Extensive analysis and flight test of the survivability of the F-35 with its combination of stealth, advanced sensors, data fusion, sophisticated countermeasures, and electronic attack demonstrate conclusively its superior advantages over legacy aircraft, is still yet to be proven in combat.

There are comparable aircraft that some say will outperform the F-35. China’s second fifth-generation stealth aircraft, the J-31 built by the Shenyang Aircraft Corporation has many similarities in design and in performance. Because there is little technical data available it is still too early to assess how much better it may is compared to other similar multipurpose jets. It will be able to compete with F15, F16 & F18 and will will come close or at least match the F35 according to aviation experts.

Shenyang J-31

Shenyang_J-31_(F60)_at_the_2014_Zhuhai_Air_Show

Sukhoi T-50 PAK-FA

Sukhoi_T_50_PAK_FA_by_nellenmellen

“The aircraft is equipped – just like the Raptor – with  top modern weapons, stealth technology and has supercruise at mach 1.6. Since it has not yet been revealed there is very much speculations about it and there is a lot of propaganda involved. For instance Vladimir Putin claimed that: “This machine will be superior to our main competitor, the F-22, in terms of maneuverability, weaponry and range” which you can choose to interpret in any way you want. But it is by many considered to be the best fighter in the world when it enters service with the Russian air force. The main points that are considered by many to be better with the PAK FA than with the raptor is its IRST, its engines and its 3D Thrust vectoring system (the Raptor does not feature IRST and only has 2D TV). The engine that is currently being developed by Saturn and is said to be the “fifth generation fighter engine” will be delivered in the coming years and just like any other tremendously expensive project there has been a lot of speculations about it. India is also currently developing a fifth generation fighter projected to be introduced in 2022, namely the HAL FGFA, which is an upgraded version of the PAK FA. It is claimed that it is supposed to have 43 improvements compared to the PAK FA, among others stealth, supercruise, advanced sensors, networking and combat avionics.”

http://www.migflug.com/jetflights/fifth-generation-fighter-jets-a-chinese-russian-and-us-arms-race.html

The only way to verify the sales pitch by Lockhead Martin will be to test the J-35 in combat…but what an expensive way to confirm the capabilities.